@user1726128135222: 这个问题很关键,也是中国近几十年权力交接中最“扑朔迷离”的谜团之一:为何江泽民最终“隔代点将”,选择了并不显山露水的习近平,作为中共最高权力的“储君”? 在官方话语中,权力交接是“组织决定”“集体领导”的结果,但实际上,中共高层的人事安排尤其是储君培养,历来都带有强烈的政治投射、派系平衡和个人判断。而习近平之所以被江泽民看中,成为最终“过渡期”的承接者,有深层的政治考量和性格因素。我们可以从几个关键角度分析。 一、江泽民为何要“隔代指定”? 在中共党内,一般是“上一代提拔下一代”。胡锦涛是邓小平指定的接班人,因此江在位时并未真正主导自己的继承人。 但胡锦涛上台后,“团派治国”与“江派共治”的局面使江感到制衡不足,加之胡谨慎温和、风格偏“被动维稳”,江担忧“自己退得太干净”,留下的利益布局(特别是上海帮、太子党)被团派清理。因此他要提前布局、隔代培养“自己信得过的人”。 而习近平,就是这个“平衡者”——一位可以代表太子党、又不会完全听命于团派、看似“稳重中立”的角色。 二、为何选中习近平?具备哪些特质? ✅ 1. 红色血统纯正,是“党内根正苗红的孩子” • 习近平是习仲勋之子,习仲勋是中共元老、“八大元老”之一,在党内德高望重; • 红二代身份天然具备合法性,“信得过”; • 在中共干部体系中,红色血统在关键位置依然重要,是“政治可靠”的象征。 江泽民深知红二代在党内群众基础之牢,选习,有助于稳定军心和老人帮。 ✅ 2. 仕途历练完整、从地方干起,基层经验丰富 • 习近平在河北、福建、浙江、上海等地任职,涵盖沿海发展区、中央直辖市,有经济治理与党务统筹经验; • 尤其在浙江主政期间,表现出务实、稳重、少犯错的风格,没出过政治大乱子; • 在上海短暂任职后,立刻被调入中央,说明是“提前卡位”。 江派最看重的是“不添乱、肯听话、有能力”——习近平在这一时期显然都符合。 ✅ 3. 性格内敛隐忍,政治上低调沉稳 • 在早年“下放”与“整肃习仲勋”中,习近平磨出了极强的政治耐力和心理韧性; • 在地方历练期间,他鲜少参与派系斗争,也未树敌太多; • 江泽民和曾庆红曾多次向高层表示:这个人“听得进话,不浮不躁”,适合“稳妥接班”。 这在政治斗争复杂的中共体系中,是难能可贵的“安全选项”。 ✅ 4. 与江派、红二代、军中力量都有“情感链接” • 习近平在福建与“军队系统”有深厚联系,后来与张又侠、刘源等军中红二代结盟; • 他与江派的曾庆红、贾庆林等人有合作经历,算“自己人”; • 又能争取“红二代圈子”的政治认同,不易引发政变或强烈抵制。 江泽民在退位之后最关心的是——他所代表的利益集团是否能继续存在、被安全接力。而习近平的出现,恰恰符合这种“桥梁型继承人”的设定。 三、胡锦涛默许,曾庆红操作,是“综合妥协产物” • 胡锦涛虽然掌权,但权力被集体领导、军委主席“二人制”制衡,没有完全决定接班人选; • 曾庆红是“江系大总管”,是操作习近平入常、接班的实际操盘手; • 胡锦涛最终接受习近平,也是出于“比李克强更能平衡党内各方”的考虑。 四、习近平上台后为何“脱轨”?江是否误判? 许多人疑问:既然江泽民选的是习近平,为何习近平后来大刀阔斧反腐、打虎、集中权力,反过来清洗江派? 有一种流行说法是:江选的是“保守看守人”,没料到选出来的是“改革建制者”。这体现了江泽民对习近平的**“战略性误判”**: • 以为他“稳重中庸”,但习近平其实隐忍多年,有自己的权力目标; • 以为他会“权力平衡”,但他上台后迅速整合军权、中央权力,打破集体领导; • 以为他“感恩江派”,但他深知不肃清旧人,难以独立执政。 可以说,江泽民亲手挑选的储君,最终开创了完全不同的局面。 总结: 江泽民之所以隔代选择习近平,是基于“红色血统正、性格稳重低调、能平衡各派、政治不出错”的判断; 然而,习近平上台后展示出“极强的自主意志与集中权力能力”,逐步摆脱江系影响,开创个人集权时代,成为“中共教父式”人物。 #习近平 #江泽民 #中国

中国三农发布
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Thursday 17 July 2025 01:57:46 GMT
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zenosgiant
ZenosGiant :
Xi Jinping saved China from crumbling into a factional corrupt mess. Before Xi, corruption is so rampant. Most officials from low level to high level accepted bribe. Basic things like going to good university or getting a public job require greasing someone's pocket. All these are now gone.
2025-07-19 08:13:03
44
horrneo
Hor :
China has made all neighbors countries poorer as it become more powerful.
2025-07-18 17:34:49
0
la_huong_van
Kiến Văn :
Jiang Zemin made right decision for whatever reasons as we can see great China today !!!
2025-07-24 03:00:31
0
jallofulani0
jallofulani :
Xi is great leader I was in China before he be came president and he make China better for Chinese people so I love him for that god bless u mr xi 🙏🙏
2025-07-18 19:27:58
58
peace.in.asia
Peace.in.Asia :
The use of "选定” or designated XJP to be his successor is twisting and misleading the public or viewers about China leadership succession system
2025-07-21 12:55:46
0
csjmb
CS JMB :
He has a humble beginning. As a Taiwanese I really respect him.
2025-07-18 21:28:02
10
farooq.farooq9233
Farooq Farooq :
As a Pakistani I love China I accept China is Super power country not America
2025-07-18 05:20:47
31
bundang223
냉면한사발 :
Mr.Xi has always been a dedicated and humble person for China. He is the greatest leader in world history and has always devoted his life to the Chinese people.
2025-07-19 05:58:36
13
yashin.jesse
Yashin Jesse :
China under Xi had become a world bullies against their neighbours
2025-07-22 08:04:08
0
mycountrymorocco3
رزان 🤍 :
The world is amazed by China's strength and development in a short time, and the most beautiful thing is the cohesion of the people together.
2025-07-18 23:06:57
7
rawjor1
rawjor :
He made the wrong decision…. This man is destroying China
2025-07-22 23:02:52
0
unhinged_001
Unhinged :
Brother Leader Xi is respected world over. His leadership style is studying by many here in South Africa 🇿🇦 🇨🇳
2025-07-18 07:08:22
5
oakcrays
Malik K. :
They are good at their practical thoughts
2025-07-17 12:05:17
3
qays.sbaih
Qays Sbaih :
Love from Palestine 🇵🇸 to China 🇨🇳
2025-07-19 02:33:32
3
hannesndans
hannesndans :
president for the people
2025-07-19 17:13:31
0
salisusumar4
S UMAR :
Xi he's always heart calming peaceful man
2025-07-19 14:08:28
1
adilnawazadilnaw70
💫⚜️عادل 💖⚜️💫 :
Chinese beauty 🤗🤗🤩🤩🤩🥰🥰
2025-07-19 12:03:28
0
alisquad77
❤️‍🩹 :
greater china❤🫡🫡
2025-07-17 20:51:30
29
vpi.zihad
Vpi Zihad :
I love the Chinese Prime Minister very much and am a big fan.
2025-07-18 09:15:15
3
sungni.sungni
Sungni Sungni :
great politics china hai sathi hai....
2025-07-23 08:47:52
0
good56016
Sandhu 🇩🇪 :
China 🇨🇳 is danger for world 🌎 usa 🇺🇸 nothing 😁😁
2025-07-18 00:22:18
2
towball8
Towball :
Is it because of advice from Anthony Albanese 🤔 😳 😕 😅..
2025-07-24 01:17:34
0
dave.lai25
dave lai :
Mr.Xi is respectable President in China.🥰🥰🥰👍👍👍👏👏👏🤩🤩🤩😜😜😜😜😜😜
2025-07-22 11:45:18
0
mcdonizo
Mc Don Izo :
💖💖💖💖💖from uganda representative
2025-07-19 08:48:25
2
www.tiktok.comtactic
Tic-tac :
Xi Jinping dragon 🐉 😁long life ⚖️♥️💯empereur 🆚😈👿
2025-07-18 15:27:55
1
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